The EUR/USD tested important resistance at the end of today’s session as it remains on the backfoot on debt and growth concerns. The Pound fell to a new low for this week on similar concerns as well.
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Duration : 0:8:1
The Euro slid today as investors and traders focused on the shortfalls in the rescue package and the weaker growth expected if austerity measures are to bring down large deficits. That despite a stronger-than-expected 1st quarter GDP release. The Pound was weaker on similar issues.
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Duration : 0:9:32
The Pound rose against its rivals as the Conservatives managed to get a coalition with the smaller Liberal Democrats with David Cameron becoming the country’s new Prime Minister. The Euro extended yesterday’s declines as investors and traders digested and expressed some doubts and concerns about the the rescue package unveiled over the weekend.
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Duration : 0:8:28
The Dollar was a main recipient of safe-haven flows as we had further contagion fears in the Euro-zone as Moody’s placed Portugal under review for a downgrade. The EUR/USD hit a 14-month low, and with oil and gold falling commodity currencies weakened as well. US equities managed to cut early losses and by noon NY-time we saw a small counter-rally to the overnight risk aversion.
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Duration : 0:8:24
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A Lesson on Bollinger Bands for active traders and investors using technical analysis in the forex, futures, and stock markets.
The link that I refer to on Standard Deviation is here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_deviation
The link that I refer to with more resources on Bollinger Bands is here:
http://www.informedtrades.com/tags/index.php/bollinger%20bands/
In our last lesson we learned about the Stochastic Oscillator and how traders use this in their trading. In today’s lesson we are going to learn about an indicator which helps traders gauge the volatility and how current prices compare to past prices.
Bollinger Bands are comprised of three bands which are referred to as the upper band, the lower band, and the center band. The middle band is a simple moving average which is normally set at 20 periods, and the upper band and lower band represent chart points that are two standard deviations away from that moving average.
Example of Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger bands are designed to give traders a feel for what the volatility is in the market and how high or low prices are relative to the recent past. The basic premise of Bollinger bands is that price should normally fall within two standard deviations (represented by the upper and lower band) of the mean which is the center line moving average. If you are unfamiliar with what a standard deviation is you can read about it here http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_deviation. As this is the case trend reversals often occur near the upper and lower bands. As the center line is a moving average which represents the trend in the market, it will also frequently act as support or resistance.
The first way that traders use the indicator is to identify potential overbought and oversold places in the market. Although some traders will take a close outside the upper or lower bands as buy and sell signals, John Bollinger who developed the indicator recommends that this method should only be traded with the confirmation of other indicators. Outside of the fact that most traders would recommend confirming signals with more than one method, with Bollinger bands prices which stay outside or remain close to the upper or lower band can indicate a strong trend, a situation that you do not want to be trading reversals in. For this reason selling at the upper band and buying at the lower is a technique that is best served in range bound markets.
Example of Buying and Selling at the Upper and Lower Band:
Large breakouts often occur after periods of low volatility when the bands contract. As this is the case traders will often position for a trend trade on a break of the upper or lower Bollinger band after a period of contraction or low volatility. Be careful when using this strategy as the first move is often a fake out.
Example
As Bollinger bands paint a good picture directly on the price chart of how high or low price is relative to historical prices, this is a good indicator to use in conjunction with other methods such as some of the chart patterns that we have learned so far and some of the candlestick patterns which we will learn in future lessons. Below is one such example:
As Bollinger Bands are one of the most popular indicators around I have created a special page on InformedTrades.com which lists multiple resources for those looking for more information on trading Bollinger Bands.
That’s our lesson for today. You should now have a good understanding of Bollinger bands and how traders use these in their trading. In our next lesson we are going to go over the Average Directional Index or ADX, which helps traders identify the strength or weakness of a trend so we hope to see you in that lesson.
As always if you have any questions or comments please feel free to have them in the comments section below, and have a great day!
Duration : 0:7:36
EU finance ministers came to a multi-year $149 billion deal on Sunday regarding Greece, but the Euro fell today as the approval of the agreement moves to Euro nations’ legislatures. In contrast to the Greece bailout, the US posted a strong report on the manufacturing sector as well as positive reports for consumer and construction spending.
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Duration : 0:9:52
The Euro rallies as the Greek government formally asked to receive the bailout funds from the EU-IMF aid package. We also had positive fundamentals from the Euro-zone in the form of the IFO business index and new industrial orders. The Pound slid on weak GDP data, but recovered as risk appetite was stronger in NY trading. In addition to higher US equities the US also posted very strong housing sales data.
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Duration : 0:9:55
Recap: Continued risk aversion from the Goldman Sachs news on Friday and lingering concerns over Greece helped the Dollar to gain against the Euro and commodity linked currencies like the Australian and Canadian Dollars. The Pound meanwhile was weaker on polling data showing a higher chance of a Hung Parliament.
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Duration : 0:9:56
Today’s trading saw several developments including a hawkish BOC statement that boosted the Canadian Dollar, hawkish minutes from the RBA that helped spur Aussie gains, positive fundamental data from the UK and Euro-zone and gains by the Dollar vs the Yen.
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Duration : 0:8:5
The Yen surged on news that the SEC brought fraud charges against Goldman Sachs. The news prompted a sell-off in US equities which heightened the sense of risk aversion in currency markets benefiting the Japanese currency. Also, oil and gold tumbled which weakened the Canadian and Australian Dollars.
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Duration : 0:9:14